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The Future of Computing It Isn't What It Used to Be

Steve Huffman, Guest Editor

The futour on computing image

Editing an issue of The Edge titled “The Future of Computing” is a frightening task. In my mind echo the futuristic visions of true giants of the computing industry:

I think there is a world market for about five computers.” Thomas J. Watson, Chairman of IBM, 1943.

There is no reason for anyone to have a computer in their home.
Kenneth Olson, President of Digital Equipment, 1977.

640K ought to be enough for anybody.” Bill Gates, CEO of Microsoft, 1981.

It is therefore with some trepidation that I introduce this issue devoted to emerging technologies that may have profound effects on the future of computing.

The six articles in this issue explore two distinct areas of the future of computing: new computational devices and new computing paradigms. Five of the six articles touch on both areas, illustrating the co-evolutionary nature of computing devices and the computing paradigms that are developed to exploit them.

Toward Molecular-Scale Computers, Computation as a Property of Matter, and Matter as Software,” by James Ellenbogen, discusses recent advances in the development of nanoelectronic computers whose computational circuits are constructed by arranging individual molecules, thereby reducing their size by orders of magnitude over conventional semiconductor processors. However, the mechanism underlying the computation is still based on controlling the flow of electrons to represent discrete binary states (‘1’s and ‘0’s). “Quantum Information Science: The Undiscovered Country,” by Gerald Gilbert, describes how computation can be based on the almost incomprehensible superposition of quantum states, which allows a property such as electron spin to occupy simultaneously both of its possible states. "Pushing the Frontier of Science: Quantum Cryptography Research at MITRE," also by Gilbert, focuses on efforts to exploit the properties of quantum mechanics to allow separated parties to carry out unconditionally secret communications in "unbreakable" code.

While molecular electronics and quantum computing exploit fundamental physical properties to produce new methods for performing computations, the remaining three articles in this issue explore the use of biological and social metaphors to inspire new computing paradigms. “Lessons From Biology: Silicon Neuron Processing,” by David Colella, focuses on processing architectures derived from biological neurons—producing a computing model that emulates biological processes on a microscale. “Evolutionary Computation: Evolving Novel Solutions for Complex Problems,” by Lashon Booker, describes an emerging computing paradigm that draws upon the macroscale biological process of evolution. Finally, “The Future for Intelligent Simulation Models,” by Gary Klein, explores the application to simulation of agent computation, a computational model that uses the social metaphor of adaptive and interacting agents.

The full implications for the future of computing of the technologies discussed in this issue will unfold over time. However, those technologies, along with other emerging technologies, depart so significantly from our traditional forms of computation that it is already clear that “the future isn’t what it used to be.”


For more information, please contact guest editor Steve Huffman using the employee directory.


January 2002
Volume 6
Number 1

The Future of Computing Issue

Quantum Information Science: The Undiscovered Country

Toward Molecular-Scale Computers, Computation as a Property of Matter, and Matter as Software

Evolutionary Computation: Evolving Novel Solutions for Complex Problems

Lessons From Biology: Silicon Neuron Processing

The Future for Intelligent Simulation Models

Pushing the Frontier of Science: Quantum Cryptography Research at MITRE


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