Estimating Operational Benefits
of Aircraft Navigation and Air Traffic Control Procedures Using an Integrated
Aviation Modeling and Evaluation Platform
May 2006
Ralf H. Mayer, The MITRE Corporation
ABSTRACT
Complex constraints generally define the performance of
air transportation systems. These constraints include aircraft
operational characteristics, airline operating procedures,
and Air Traffic Control (ATC) requirements. The
operational variability that is present in complex air transportation
systems and their components typically demands
a Monte Carlo approach when modeling system performance
metrics. However, the inherent variability is generally
not known a priori. This calls for a separate model
validation approach that yields estimates of system variability
and validates baseline model performance. This
paper reports on an integrated aviation modeling platform
that was developed for comparing and evaluating proposed
aircraft flight operations and ATC procedures. It integrates
both an agent-based Monte Carlo modeling environment
and a data-driven model validation capability. The capabilities
are outlined, the validation approach is described,
and examples are presented of performance metrics quantifying
operational benefits of air navigation procedures that
are currently being implemented at major U.S. airports.
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