Early Warning Signals of Tipping-Points in Blog Posts

December 2012
Topics: Communication, Psychology, Social Behavior
Dr. David M. Slater, The MITRE Corporation
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Complex systems in a variety of disciplines are punctuated by tipping-points, where the system undergoes an abrupt rapid change of state. Early warning signals of such tipping-points can be detected via a concept called critical slowing down by examining a set of statistical metrics. A method based on critical slowing down is used to examine the sentiment of a localized set of blog posts in the lead up to two tipping-points. Evidence of critical slowing down is found in the days leading up to each tipping-point.


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